Fri, 19 Jul 2019

The ANC appears to be maintaining and building on its Ramaphoria momentum ahead of the upcoming elections, with a new poll indicating that the party could once again attract more than 60% of the vote.

According to an Ipsos poll, which forms part of its regular "Pulse of the People" studies, the ANC will probably get 61% of the vote, followed by the DA with 16%.

This is lower than the 22% the official opposition garnered in 2014. The Ipsos study projects that 9% of voters are likely to make their mark next to the EFF on the ballot sheet, up by three percentage points from the 6% it received in 2014.

The latest projected figures are based on "a medium voter turnout scenario - if about 80% of those registered to vote go to the polls".

"Fieldwork for this study was conducted from 1st February 2019 to 4th of March 2019. A total of 3 511 South Africans, 15 years and older, were interviewed. They were randomly selected and interviewed face-to-face in their homes and home languages. Interviews were conducted all over the country, from metropolitan areas to deep rural areas," Ipsos said in a statement.

ANC has lost some support ahead of elections latest IRR poll

Ipsos says that cause for concern for all parties will be the 10 million South Africans of voting age who have chosen not to vote in this election.

The Ipsos study suggests this can attributed to the fact that of all South Africans eligible to vote, 25% are not interested in politics and elections, and almost four in every 10 say that there is no political party expressing their views.

An alarming 37% of registered voters indicated that they agree with the statement "there is no political party expressing my views".

"However, this does not mean that they will not turn out to vote on election day. But it must be accepted that uncertainty is part of the political scene in the country," Ipsos said.

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